If you’ve been following the news recently, you’ll have seen a familiar headline appear again: global chip shortages.
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For many in education this will trigger memories of the COVID years, when laptops, screens, and networking equipment suddenly became difficult to source and delivery dates stretched into months rather than weeks.
At the time it felt like a once-in-a-generation disruption.
What we are seeing now suggests something slightly different. The hardware supply chain remains fragile, and a number of global pressures are beginning to stack up again at the same time. The reality is that technology supply is no longer as predictable as it once was.
And for schools and Trusts that depend on reliable devices and infrastructure, that matters.
Several factors are now converging. Global chip fabrication remains constrained, and semiconductor manufacturing relies heavily on specialist inputs such as helium. When supply interruptions occur, the knock-on effect can ripple through the entire production chain.
At the same time, geopolitical tensions, export controls, shipping disruption and rising energy costs are all affecting how quickly hardware can be produced and moved around the world.
The result is something suppliers sometimes refer to as the domino effect.
Production slows down. Lead times extend. Vendors prioritise higher-margin markets. Prices begin to edge upwards. None of this means devices suddenly disappear overnight. But it does mean the days of ordering large quantities of equipment with short delivery windows cannot always be assumed. For schools, that creates a planning challenge.
There is another important factor at play. During COVID, many schools accelerated device rollouts dramatically. Laptops and Chromebooks were deployed at scale so learning could continue remotely. That was absolutely the right thing to do.
However, it also means a large number of those devices are now approaching the point where refresh decisions need to be made at roughly the same time. In other words, the demand curve for school hardware may be about to rise just as global supply becomes less predictable again. That combination is worth planning for carefully.
The most important shift for schools is moving from reactive purchasing to planned life-cycle management.
Instead of waiting until equipment fails or budgets appear late in the financial year, it is far safer to map hardware refresh cycles earlier and understand where the risks sit.
This doesn’t mean panic buying. It simply means being deliberate.
Schools should be asking questions such as:
The goal is continuity of learning, not chasing the newest specification.
Right now, the priority is visibility.
Schools and Trusts should work with their technology partners to understand their current hardware estate and identify equipment that may need refreshing within the next 12 to 18 months. If refresh projects are already planned for the next academic year, it is sensible to begin procurement conversations earlier rather than later.
Another practical step is to be open to approved equivalent models. In constrained markets, insisting on a single exact specification can sometimes create unnecessary delays. Flexibility can keep projects moving.
Over the next quarter, schools should start firming up refresh plans that may affect teaching and learning environments. For example:
Where major deployments are planned, it can be wise to secure supply commitments earlier in the cycle rather than relying on last-minute procurement. This is particularly relevant for large Trust-wide refresh programmes.
Longer term, the most resilient schools will be those that treat hardware refresh as a predictable life-cycle rather than a reactive purchase. That means:
These approaches help protect schools from global supply fluctuations that are largely outside their control.
The global technology supply chain is incredibly complex, and education is only one of many sectors competing for the same components. What matters for schools is not predicting every geopolitical development or manufacturing constraint.
What matters is planning ahead.
The schools that navigated the COVID hardware shortages most successfully were not necessarily the ones with the biggest budgets. They were the ones that planned early, stayed flexible and worked closely with their trusted partners, like us!
Those same principles will matter again if supply constraints tighten over the next 6 to 12 months. For school leaders, the goal remains simple:
Keep technology reliable, predictable and ready for learning.